| Thursday, May 10, 2012 Vancouver Real Estate Market Update - April 2012Categories:Apartment,Apartment units,BC Condos,BC housing bubble,BC Properties,BC Real Estate,bc real estate forecast,BC Real Estate Market,BC Real Estate News,Cambie Village,Canada Mortgages,Canada New Mortgage Rules,Canada Real Estate,Canadian mortgage rates,Coal Harbour Real Estate,Greater Vancouver real estate,Greator Vancouver Real Estates,Housing Market,Market Bubble,Market Crash,Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,New Construction,New Constuctions,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,Real Estate Agent,Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver Report,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats,Vancouver,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Housung Market,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Property Taxes,,Vancouver Real Estate,vancouver real estate forecast,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats
Vancouver Real Estate Market Update - April 2012
Local homes sales are in a balanced state despite the lowest April sales numbers since 2001, according to a report by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver.
“Although April sales were below what’s typical for the month, we continue to see, with a sales-to-active listing ratio of nearly 17 per cent, a balanced relationship between buyer demand and seller supply in our marketplace,” Eugen Klein, REBGV president said in a statement.
“Recent activity has had a stabilizing effect on home prices at the regional level, although pricing can vary depending on area and property type.”
According to the monthly report, homes sales and listings have maintained a consistent pace in recent months, contributing to the balanced conditions.
However, the report noted that Metro Vancouver sales totalled 2,799 in April 2012, a 13.2-per-cent decline compared to the 3,225 sales in April 2011 and a decline of 2.6 per cent compared to the 2,874 sales in March 2012.
April sales were the lowest total for the month in the region since 2001 and 16.9 per cent below the 10-year April sales average of 3,369, the board said in a release.
Full Report:
Cat: Vancouver Real Estate Technorati Tags: Vancouver Real Estate Housing April 2012 Apartment Wednesday, May 9, 2012 Vancouver home prices fall for fifth consecutive monthCategories:Anna Asi,Anna Homes,Annahomes,Apartment,BC Assessment,BC Condos,BC housing bubble,BC Properties,BC Real Estate,BC Real Estate Market,BC Real Estate News,Canada Mortgages,Canada New Mortgage Rules,Canada Real Estate,Canadian mortgage rates,Condo,Condos,Greater Vancouver real estate,Market Bubble,Market Crash,Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Mortgage Rates,New Construction,New Constuctions,Real Estate,Real Estate Agent,Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver Report,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats,Realtor,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Art Gallery, Downtown Vancouver, Relocation of Vancouver Art Gallery,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,vancouver housing bubble,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Real Estate,vancouver real estate forecast,vancouver real estate forecast 2011,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats,West Vancouver,West Vancouver Condo Vancouver home prices fall for fifth consecutive month
OTTAWA — Homes prices edged down 0.2 per cent in February from the month before but were still 6.1 per cent higher than a year ago, according to a well-watched housing index.
The month-over-month decline was the third such retreat in the past four months for the Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index, released Wednesday, which measures price changes for repeat sales of single-family homes.
In January, prices rose 0.1 per cent. Teranet's report showed prices falling from the previous month in six of the 11 metropolitan markets surveyed.
In Canada's two hottest real-estate markets, prices in Vancouver fell 0.3 per cent, the fifth consecutive decline, while prices in Toronto rose by just 0.1 per cent. On a yearly basis, however, Toronto prices were 10 per cent higher.
Nationally, prices were 6.1 per cent higher than a year ago. In January, prices were 6.5 per cent higher. The data is likely to show up on the radar of Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney, who has repeatedly warned that Canadians are piling on too much debt as they buy homes whose prices keep rising.
At a House of Commons finance committee meeting Tuesday, Carney warned that house prices in relation to income levels are now running 35 per cent above historical norms.
Last week, the Canadian Real Estate Association reported that seasonally adjusted sales in March rose 1.6 per cent from year-earlier levels, although the national average home price declined 0.5 per cent to to $369,677.
"It is a fact that according to CREA (the Canadian Real Estate Association) data for March, five of the 11 markets covered were rather favourable to sellers (Toronto, Hamilton, Winnipeg, Halifax and Quebec City). Overall, the Canadian market is nevertheless balanced," said National Bank senior economist Marc Pinsonneault.
Metropolitan area % change m/m / % change y/y Calgary / -0.6 % / +1.3 % Edmonton / -1.0 % / +1.1 % Halifax / +0.4 % / +2.3 % Hamilton / -0.8 % / +7.5 % Montreal / +0.2 % / +4.4 % Ottawa / -0.4 % / +4.6 % Quebec / +1.6 % / +5.6 % Toronto / 0.1 % / +10.0 % Vancouver / -0.3 % / +6.2 % Victoria / -1.1 % / -1.7 % Winnipeg / +0.2 % / +8.2 % National Composite / -0.2 % / +6.1 %
Source: Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index Cat: Vancouver Real Estate Wednesday, April 11, 2012 Groupon Concept For Vancouver New CondosCategories:Ana Asi,Anna Asi,Anna Homes,Annahomes,Apartment,BC Housing Market,BC Assessment,BC Condos,BC Economy,BC housing bubble,BC Properties,BC Real Estate,BC Real Estate Market,BC Real Estate News,Condo,Condos,Greater Vancouver real estate,Housing Market,Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,Real Estate Agent,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Stats,Realtor,Vancouver,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Properties,vancouver real estate forecast,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats
Group-on Concept For Vancouver New Condos
Cat: Vancouver Real Estate Technorati Tags: Real Estate Vancouver Housing Investors Wednesday, April 11, 2012 Overseas investors are buying properties in Vancouver, CanadaCategories:BC Housing Market,BC Condos,BC Properties,BC Real Estate,bc real estate forecast,BC Real Estate Market,BC Real Estate News,Canada Real Estate,Condo,Condos,Greater Vancouver real estate,Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Real Estate,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats,Realtor,Vancouver,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Housung Market,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Property Taxes,,Vancouver Real Estate,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats Overseas investors are buying properties in Vancouver
Rich Asians Buying B.C. Real Estate By Helicopter
Cat: Vancouver Real Estate Technorati Tags: Real Estate Vancouver Housing Investors Friday, March 16, 2012 Vancouver Real Estate Market Update–Feb 2012Categories:real estate graphs,real estate news,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Real Estate,vancouver real estate forecast,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats Vancouver Real Estate Market Update–Feb 2012 Cat:Vancouver Real Estate Technorati Tags: Vancouver Real Estate Housing Friday, March 16, 2012 Greater Vancouver housing market trends near long-term averages as spring market approachesCategories:Greater Vancouver real estate,Housing Market,Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,real estate graphs,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,REBGV Stats,Vancouver,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Real Estate,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats Greater Vancouver housing market trends near long-term averages as spring market approaches
Closer alignment between home buyer and seller activity helped bring greater balance to the Greater Vancouver housing market in February.
New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver totalled 5,552 in February 2012. This represents a 2.5 per cent decline compared to February 2011 when 5,693 properties were listed, and a 3.5 per cent decline compared to January 2012 when 5,756 homes were added to the MLS® in Greater Vancouver.
At 14,055, the total number of residential property listings on the MLS® increased 12 per cent in February compared to last month and increased 17.9 per cent from this time last year.
Cat: Vancouver Real Estate Technorati Tags: Vancouver Real Estate Housing Condo REBGV Greater Vancouver Monday, February 6, 2012 Canadian home prices rise in January-CREACategories:Canada Real Estate,CREA Haousing Report,Housing Market,real estate graphs,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats Canadian home prices rise in January-CREA
Feb 6 (Reuters) - Canadian housing prices rose in January on a monthly basis for the first time in three months, led by gains in Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver, according to a report from the Canadian Real Estate Association.
The newly launch MLS Home Price Index, which monitors housing prices in five major urban markets, rose "While home prices remain up compared to one year ago, price growth from one month to the next has been slowing, causing year-over-year gains to shrink, and prices are generally expected to continue to stabilize this year," Gary Morse, the industry group's president, said in a statement.
Cat: Canada Real Estate Technorati Tags: Canada Real Estate Canada Housing Home Prices Housing Price Index Sunday, February 5, 2012 Vancouver condo market on watch list as real estate balloon deflatesCategories:BC Housing Market,BC Condos,BC Economy,BC housing bubble,BC Properties,BC Real Estate,bc real estate forecast,BC Real Estate Market,BC Real Estate News,Canada Mortgages,Canada New Mortgage Rules,Canada Real Estate,Canadian mortgage rates,Greater Vancouver real estate,Greator Vancouver Real Estates,Housing Market,Market Bubble,Market Crash,Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Properties,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,Real Estate Agent,Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver Report,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Realtor,Vancouver,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver Housing,vancouver housing bubble,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Real Estate,vancouver real estate forecast,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats General price declines in B.C. make province 'nation's new weak spot,' according to report
Canada's housing market is not a bubble, it's a balloon. And unlike the catastrophic decline the U.S. housing market experienced in 2008, the market in Canada will deflate slowly rather than pop, according to a report by BMO Capital Markets.
The sole possible exception is Vancouver, where the number of unoccupied condominiums is high due to building the Olympic Village, economists Sherry Cooper and Sal Guatieri wrote in "Will Canada's Housing Boom Forge On, Fizzle Out, or Flame Out?"
But generally, the report says that despite rising household debt, low interest rates and rising home prices, it is unlikely that a sudden correction will take place.
"The main take-away is that the national housing market appears some-what pricey, but is far removed from bubble territory," the report stated.
It compares average resale prices with median family incomes and finds the ratio is 4.9 nationally, compared to 3.2 a decade ago.
In Vancouver, though, where house prices have gone up 159 per cent in the last 10 years - compared to 104 per cent nationally - the ratio of price to income is 10, nearly double what it was a decade ago, the report said. Victoria is also high, at 5.7, but not as high as Toronto, which has a price to income ratio of 6.7.
Montreal has also seen prices rise dramatically - by 153 per cent - and its price-to-income ratio double, but that ratio remains low at 4.5.
Despite rising home prices in most of Canada's major cities, the growth doesn't seem to be excessive, the report said. But elevated valuations could lead to trouble in the event of a shock.
For example, if interest rates were to spike by about four percentage points, the affordability of homes would quickly drop throughout the country. A severe recession would also affect affordability.
But the chance of either of those events happening is unlikely, the report authors stated. Also, except for a few markets, the national housing boom has already cooled.
And British Columbia is now "the nation's new weak spot, with prices generally declining," the report said. Some of that decline reflects fewer sales of high-end homes. "[But] some real underlying softness is at play, and will likely continue until valuations improve," the report stated.
Tsur Somerville, director for the Centre for Urban Economics and Real Estate at the Sauder School of Business at UBC, said BMO's report is one of many predicting slight drops or slight increases in the housing market rather than a major correction.
"The kinds of things you need to get major corrections, like oversupply or radical change in the financing environment, just aren't there," Somerville said.
And just because the overall market will be flat, it doesn't mean that certain portions of it - such as areas that have had higher run-ups in prices over the past few years - aren't in for a correction, he said. Helmut Pastrick, chief economist with Central 1 Credit Union, believes that while there may be a soft landing at some point in the future, it won't be in 2012.
"The market is holding up generally well and it looks like 2012 is going to be fairly similar to 2011 in terms of overall unit sales," Pastrick said. "Housing prices will go up by some amount, sales will also increase by a small amount."
And while the economy isn't booming, it is growing, interest rates are low and there is job growth, he said. "So the conditions to me aren't ripe for a correction." Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that Canada's banking regulator fears that Canadian lenders are loosening standards on mortgages that are similar to U.S. subprime loans, posing an "emerging risk" to financial institutions.
Banks and other lenders are becoming "increasingly liberal" with mort-gages and home-equity credit lines that don't require individuals to prove their income, according to documents obtained by Bloomberg under freedom of information law request from the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions. "Non-income qualified" lending has been added to a list of issues to be considered by OSFI's "emerging-risk committee," Bloomberg reported the documents showing. Pastrick disputes this finding.
"We're not subprime, not by a long shot," he said.
Lenders in Canada have "credible lending criteria and standards." And while lenders will lower rates to grab market share "credit isn't easy like it was in the U.S.," he said.
Somerville believes the problem is with home equity lines of credit which have become more popular over the year and don't always require income verification.
Not only are lines of credit given out without the same level of super-vision or the same standard of care that is applied to mortgages, they are also junior in seniority to mortgages, Somerville said.
With a file from Bloomberg © Copyright (c) Postmedia News Picture by: Friday, February 3, 2012 TD Financial Group's chief economist on New Low Mortgage RatesCategories:Canada Mortgages,Canada New Mortgage Rules,Canada Real Estate,Canadian mortgage rates,Condo,Condos,real estate news TD Financial Group's chief economist on New Low Mortgage Rates
Canada's big banks offered homebuyers a big fat incentive last week when, led by the Bank of Montreal, most dropped their five-year fixed mortgage rates to an unheard of 2.99 per cent. Like the failing Detroit auto industry of the early 2000s, with its zero per cent financing, no-money-down offers, Canada's banks appear willing to sacrifice some profit to keep the mortgage market booming. They're still making money—and certainly won't go bankrupt like two of the Big Three automakers did—but there is a similar whiff of desperation here at a time when the housing market appears to be cooling. Even in once hot markets like Calgary, prices have flattened.
Cat: Canada Mortgage Rates Technorati Tags: Canada Mortgage Rate Mortgage Friday, February 3, 2012 BMO has lowered the fixed rate to 2.99 per centBMO has lowered the fixed rate to 2.99 per cent
A strong international demand for bonds from Canada's biggest banks is trickling through the system and pushing mortgage rates to record lows at the consumer level. The Bank of Montreal moved its five-year fixed mortgage rate to 2.99 per cent late Thursday — the lowest posted rate from a major bank in Canadian history. BMO announced the rate cut late on Thursday and TD followed suit by lowering their four-year fixed rate to 2.99 per cent on Friday afternoon. BMO's offer, which ends Jan. 25, states that lump sum payments are limited to 10 per cent of the principal each year. The mortgage is also based on a 25-year amortization period. TD's offer is open until Feb. 29, 2012. It's also for a four-year term, much less common than the standard five-year. Other banks are expected to follow suit. On Wednesday, Toronto-Dominion Bank reduced its posted six-year rate 132 basis points to 3.79 per cent and lowered the posted seven-year fixed rate 91 basis points to 3.99 per cent.
Cat: Canada Mortgage Rates Technorati Tags: Mortgage Mortgage Rates Canada Mortgage Friday, February 3, 2012 Vancouver Rental costs is up more than 40%Vancouver Rental costs is up more than 40%
Renting office space in downtown Vancouver is up more than 40% in the past five years.
Cat: Vancouver Rentals Technorati Tags: Vancouver Renals BC Rentals Office Rentals Rental Rates Friday, February 3, 2012 RBC Global Asset Management on lower 5-year mortgage rate to record lowCategories:Canada Mortgages,Canada New Mortgage Rules,Canada Real Estate,Canadian mortgage rates,Condo,Condos,Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Mortgage Rates,rate,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,real estate graphs,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats,Realtor RBC Global Asset Management on lower 5-year mortgage rate to record low
Cat: Canada Mortgage Rates Technorati Tags: Canada Mortgage Rates Mortgage Housing Real Estate Friday, February 3, 2012 Rock-bottom mortgage rates in CanadaCategories:Canada Mortgages,Canada New Mortgage Rules,Canada Real Estate,Canadian mortgage rates,Housing Market,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Stats,vancouver real estate forecast Rock-bottom mortgage rates in Canada
Some fixed mortgage rates have dropped to their lowest rates in Canadian history.
Cat: Vancouver Mortgage Rates Technorati Tags: Canada Mortgage Mortgage Rates Housing Real Estate Mortgage Loans Thursday, February 2, 2012 Canadian home sales edge higher in DecemberCategories:Canada Real Estate,CREA Haousing Report,real estate graphs,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats According to statistics released today by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), national resale housing activity posted an increase from November to December 2011. Sales activity recorded through the MLS® Systems of Canadian real estate Boards and Associations rose 1.8 per cent from November to December 2011, marking the fourth consecutive monthly increase.
Cat: Canada Real Estate Wednesday, January 4, 2012 A YEAR IN REVIEW AND A LOOK AHEAD –TD BankCategories:BC Housing Market,BC Assessment,BC Condos,BC Economy,BC housing bubble,BC Properties,BC Real Estate,BC Real Estate Market,BC Real Estate News,Canada Mortgages,Canada New Mortgage Rules,Canada Real Estate,Canadian mortgage rates,Condo,Condos,Market Bubble,Market Crash,Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Mortgage Rates,rate,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,Real Estate Agent,Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver Report,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats,Vancouver,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,vancouver housing bubble,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Housung Market,Vancouver Indian Land,Vancouver Olympic Village,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Property Taxes,,Vancouver Real Estate,vancouver real estate forecast,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats REGIONAL HOUSING MARKETS:
Homebuyers came out in the early part of 2011 to take advantage of record-low interest rates and to beat out changes to new insured mortgage financing rules. With Canadians bringing forward their purchases and national job gains tapering off since the autumn, the past few months have recorded more modest price and sales gains. In all, 2011 put forth a very respectable showing with price appreciation clocking in at an estimated 7.5% and sales growth also positive, but at a more modest 2.2%. At around 190,000 units, housing starts also continued to come in above long-run averages.
Looking ahead, we anticipate a tug-of-war action to take hold in the Canadian real estate market. At one of the rope is the magnetism of low interest rates; at the other end are subdued prospects for economic, income and employment growth. Ultimately, we expect the economic side of the equation to win out over the near-term. In particular, the first half of 2012 is likely to be characterized by ongoing confidence-sapping events in Europe, global financial turbulence and slowing world economic growth. While housing activity is expected to do somewhat better in the second half of the year, as external clouds start to dissipate, rising Canadian interest rates in 2013 should erect the next road block in the way of housing markets. Overall, we expect sales to record annual average declines of 2.4% and 3.5% in 2012 and 2013, respectively. Prices are poised to suffer a similar fate – annual average declines of 1.9% in 2012 and 3.6% in 2013. Starts should dip to an average 170,000 to 180,000 units in 2012-13. Collectively, these adjustments will gradually erase the over-valuation in the marketplace.
While no urban center will be immune from economic volatility and higher prevailing interest rates, some regions are expected to do better than others over the next two years. Among the twelve major markets profiled in this report, Calgary and Edmonton ought to lead the pack. Solid economic fundamentals and the absence of a recent run-up in prices support our call. Toronto and Vancouver do not appear to be as lucky – we have them experiencing a greater-than-average correction in both sales and prices over the next two years.
Canada’s housing market defies the odds in 2011
In 2011, the national housing market turned in a respectable performance despite some notable hurdles. In the spring, the federal government responded to growing signs of excessive household indebtedness by announcing a further tightening in the rules surrounding insured mortgages.
Average residential prices have also been skewed by outsized strength in Vancouver and to a lesser extent, Toronto. If we were to exclude these two major markets, the price and resale activity gains would be much more muted than the headline number would suggest.
Metrics point to over-valuation embedded in home
As we recast our focus on where the housing market is headed, there has been considerable attention given to the extent of over-valuation in Canadian home prices. There is no definitive measure that one can point to quantify the degree of excess (with absolute certainty) imbedded in average residential prices in Canada today. Each measure carries with it some underlying concern about the conclusions that can be made. For example, if we use the average price-torrent ratio as a benchmark, it would tell us that homes are over-inflated by as much as 75% relative to the long-run average. However, the ratio inherently ignores the impact of changing mortgage rates, the presence of provincial rent control measures, and a potential divergence in quality between owned and rental accommodation.
Taking a look at just real home prices would lead to a conclusion that houses are priced more than 60% higher than the long-run average. Still, historical prices do not factor in key structural changes over time, such as lower trend mortgage rates, longer amortization periods, rising land values, transit development nearby, improved home quality and rising incomes. The price-to-income measure attempts to take income movements into consideration, but still does not capture some of the other factors previously presented. Based on this measure, prices are 44% over-valued. A more defensible measure assumes that total housing costs relative to income eventually revert back to a long term average. If we use this measure and assume a return to more normal levels of interest rates, the degree of overvaluation would be around 10-15%. Given the behavior of sales and price trends in recent years – one that does not share bubble-like characteristics such as those in the U.S. pre-2007 – we are comfortable with this estimate of national price over-valuation.
Less supportive factors on tap for housing
Modest economic, income and employment growth over
Real GDP growth in Canada is estimated at a solid 2.4% in 2011. However, storm clouds will increasingly hang over our small open economy during the first half of 2012. Much of the risk surrounds the European sovereign debt crisis and the failure of politicians to take decisive action so far to pour water over the flame. The base case scenario embedded in our forecast includes a recession within Europe, coming to a climax in early 2012 when borrowing pressures and requirements will be heightened. Financial market volatility and a global economic slowdown will likely play out as a result. In this context and given our export-based economy, real GDP growth is projected to slow to a minimal 1% on average during the first half of 2012. With these headline numbers, the national unemployment rate is expected to increase from 7.3% to 7.7% by the middle of next year.
Prices and sales tend to be negatively correlated with financial market volatility and job and economic uncertainty – a house is too big an asset for most families to jump into when job security is in question and financial portfolios are vulnerable to sizeable swings in total value. As a consequence, resale prices and sales are expected to decline during the first half of 2012, before the turbulence eases in the months thereafter. In our forecast, we make the explicit assumption that – faced with a mounting crisis – leaders in Europe ultimately take bold action to address the situation, thus delivering benefits to financial markets and economies around the world. As such, Canada’s economy and job market is likely to regain traction in the second half of 2012 and into 2013, with real GDP growth rebounding to above 2.0%. At the regional level, we believe the resource-based provinces of Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland and Labrador will continue to carry the best economic prospects over the 2012-13 period. The manufacturing-heavy regions of Ontario, Québec and Manitoba are expected to come in close to the national average. Last but not least, the Maritime provinces should see sub-par numbers over the next two years, with Nova Scotia being the as shipbuilding work gets underway.
Below is the full report:
Cat: Canada Real Estate Technorati Tags: Real Estate Vancouver BC Housing TD BAnk Mortgage Rates Tuesday, December 6, 2011 Historically normal activity keeps the Greater Vancouver housing market in a balanced stateCategories:BC Housing Market,BC Assessment,BC Condos,BC Economy,BC housing bubble,BC Properties,BC Real Estate,BC Real Estate Market,BC Real Estate News,BCREA,Market Crash,Market News,Market trends,Properties,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,Real Estate Agent,Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver Report,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats,REBGV Stats,Vancouver,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Art Gallery, Downtown Vancouver, Relocation of Vancouver Art Gallery,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Indian Land,Vancouver Olympic Village,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Property Taxes,,Vancouver Real Estate,vancouver real estate forecast,vancouver real estate forecast 2011,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats REBGV Stats November 2011 Historically normal activity keeps the Greater Vancouver housing market in a balanced state
The Greater Vancouver housing market saw relatively typical home sale and listing activity in November. The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential property sales of detached, attached and apartment properties on the region’s Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) reached 2,360 in November. This represents a 5.9 per cent decline compared to the 2,509 sales in November 2010 and a 1.9 per cent increase compared to the 2,317 sales recorded in October 2011.
Looking back further, last month’s residential sales total is 5.8 per cent below the ten-year average for sales in November.
“The pace of home listings entering the market eased slightly in November, compared to recent months, while sale levels remained fairly normal for this time of year,” Rosario Setticasi, REBGV president said. “November activity helped put our market firmly in balanced territory.”
New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver totaled 3,222 in November. This represents a 26.3 per cent decline compared to the 4,374 new listings reported in October 2011, but a 6.3 per cent increase compared to November 2010 when 3,030 properties were listed for sale on the MLS®.
Looking back further, last month’s new listing total is 2.1 per cent above the ten-year average for November. The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the Greater Vancouver MLS® sits at 14,090, a decline of 9 per cent compared to October 2011 but an increase of 13 per cent when compared to this time last year. The MLSLink® Housing Price Index (HPI) benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver over the last 12 months has increased 7.2 per cent to $622,087 in November 2011 from $580,080 in November 2010.
Since reaching a peak in June of $630,921, the benchmark price for all residential properties in the region has declined 1.4 per cent.
Sales of detached properties on the MLS® in November 2011 reached 916, a decrease of 12.8 per cent from the 1,050 detached sales recorded in November 2010, and a 21.3 per cent decrease from the 1,164 units sold in November 2009. The benchmark price for detached properties increased 11.4 per cent from November 2010 to $890,204.
Sales of apartment properties reached 1,000 in November 2011, a 4.9 per cent decrease compared to the 1,052 sales in November 2010, and a decrease of 28.4 per cent compared to the 1,396 sales in November 2009. The benchmark price of an apartment property increased 2.7 per cent from November 2010 to $399,686.
Attached property sales in November 2011 totaled 444, a 9.1 per cent increase compared to the 407 sales in November 2010, and a 15.1 per cent decrease from the 523 attached properties sold in November 2009. The benchmark price of an attached unit increased 4.5 per cent between November 2010 and 2011 to $510,960.
Cat: Vancouver Real Estate Tuesday, December 6, 2011 Metro Vancouver real estate prices up 7.5 per cent year over year: reportCategories:Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Mortgage Rates,New Construction,New Constuctions,New Mortgage Rules,real estate graphs,real estate news,Vancouver,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,vancouver housing bubble,Vancouver Housing Market,Vancouver Housung Market,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Property Taxes,,Vancouver Real Estate,vancouver real estate forecast,vancouver real estate forecast 2011,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats Metro Vancouver real estate prices up 7.5 per cent year over year: report New listings are sharply higher than a year ago, but much lower than September
Benchmark home prices in Metro Vancouver have increased 7.5 per cent to $622,955 in October 2011 from $579,349 in October 2010, according to the latest monthly report from the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver.
However, since reaching a peak in June of $630,921, the benchmark price — that of a typical home — for all residential properties in the region has declined 1.3 per cent. The report also said that sales of detached properties in October reached 974, about the same as October 2010.
As well, new listings for all properties totalled 4,374 in October, an 18.3-per-cent increase compared to
The total number of properties listed for sale now sits at 15,377, 9.3 per cent higher than the 14,075 properties listed for sale during the same period last year.
Meanwhile, the benchmark price of a single family detached home in the Fraser Valley in October was $530,335, an increase of 4.9 per cent compared to $505,759 in October 2010 and on par with the price in September, according to the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board.
Cat: Vancouver Real Estate © Copyright (c) The Vancouver Sun Technorati Tags: Vancouver Real Estate Vancouver Housing Real Estate Market Tuesday, December 6, 2011 BCREA Housing Market Update (November 2011)Categories:BC Housing Market,BC Properties,BC Real Estate,bc real estate forecast,BC Real Estate Market,BC Real Estate News,BCREA,bcrea report,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,real estate graphs,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats,Realtor BC Real Estate Association (BCREA) Chief Economist Cameron Muir discusses the October 2011 statistics.
Cat: Vancouver Real Estate Technorati Tags: BCREA BC Real Estate Real Estate Market BC Housing BC Housing Market Wednesday, November 16, 2011 HOUSING PRICES Comparison in Vancouver WestCategories:Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Vancouver Apartment,Vancouver Condo,Vancouver Condos,Vancouver East Real Estate,Vancouver Housing,Vancouver Properties,Vancouver Real Estate,Vancouver Real estate market,Vancouver Real Estate Market Stats,Vancouver Real Estate News,Vancouver Real Estate Stats HOUSING PRICES Comparison in West Vancouver West
HOUSING PRICES: VANCOUVER WEST DETACHED
Cat: Vancouver Real Estate Technorati Tags: Vancouver Real Estate Pricing Housing Prices Saturday, November 12, 2011 Whistler and Pemberton offer best pricesCategories:Market News,Market Stats,Market trends,Rea Estate Updates,Real Estate,Real Estate Agent,Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver Report,real estate graphs,Real Estate Investment Vancouver,Real Estate Market,Real Estate Market news,Real Estate Market treds,Real Estate Market Trends,real estate news,Real Estate Price Index,Real Estate Stats,West Vancouver,West Vancouver Condo,Whistler Real Estate Sales increase over same period in 2010 Whistler and Pemberton offer best prices
Sales activity reported for the Whistler and Pemberton areas for the first three quarters of this year indicates a strong increase in the interest in real estate purchases as compared to the same period in the previous two years. All categories, other than single-family building lots, showed significant increases in unit sales volume as compared to the first three quarters of last year. Sales values continue to consolidate as the lack of buyer urgency and historically high number of properties offered continue to affect price negotiation.
However, as price normally follows volume in our marketplace, the increasing levels of transactions indicate that further market-wide decline in value is unlikely. The current average sales value of a single-family home (after adjusting for outliers) is $1,295,600. For condominium hotels the average sales value is $325,000; for townhomes $649,000 and for quarter-shares $129,730. Single-family lots continue to lack sufficient sales to present a reliable picture of value trends.
Buyers of Whistler properties continue to focus on family orientated properties that they can use immediately, are in good repair, have quality construction, and have low annual ownership costs.
As lifestyle considerations are the primary motivation for the purchase decision, it is just as important to sell the experience of Whistler as it is to sell the features of the home.
The Pemberton market activity continues to be affected by the large amount of employee-orientated housing provided in the last two years in Whistler, although more rural properties and acreages continue to attract interest from both Whistler and Vancouver residents. The average sales volume in the area of a single family home is $473,800; a condominiums is $220,000; and a townhouse is $305,000. Pemberton continues to offer the best prices for a homebuyer in the Sea to Sky corridor.
Whistler Market statistics are heavily influenced by 'outliers' in activity that occur either in the bottom five or top five per cent of represented values. For the purpose of this article, the outliers have been removed from the analysis to give a better description of the general market. Submitted by Pat Kelly, Broker/President, The Whistler Real Estate Co Ltd.
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